Analysis of the global wheat market and characteristics of grain exports from the Russian Federation in the current geopolitical conditions
Journal: INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL JOURNAL
Type:
Article
Pages:
from 202
to 206
Status:
Received:
13.04.2026
Accepted:
13.04.2026
Published:
15.04.2026
Language:
Russian
Keywords:
global wheat market, grain production, wheat exports, foreign economic activity, agro-industrial complex, sanctions restrictions, logistics, government support, food security
Funding:
This work was prepared based on the results of research carried out at the expense of the federal budget under a state assignment (the title of the research topic is «Development and implementation of a strategy for the development of foreign economic relations of agriculture and the agro-industrial complex of the Russian Federation taking into account sanctions restrictions and new priorities for economic cooperation with foreign countries»; the code of the research topic assigned by the founder is FZUN-2024-0007).
Abstract:
This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the global wheat market as a key segment of the global agricultural and food market. It examines current trends in wheat production, changes in crop acreage, and the factors determining yield growth in various regions of the world. Particular attention is paid to the structure of global production and the distribution of leading positions among the largest grain-producing countries. The dynamics of global wheat exports are analyzed, identifying the main exporting countries and their role in shaping global supply. A significant portion of the study is devoted to analyzing the Russian Federation's export activity under sanctions restrictions, changes in logistics routes, transformation of financial payment mechanisms, and the reorientation of export flows to alternative markets. The article examines the challenges arising in foreign economic activity in the grain sector, as well as ways to address them using government support measures. The paper presents forecast estimates for wheat production and exports in Russia through 2030, taking into account climatic, economic, and institutional factors. The results can be used in developing strategies for the development of the agro-industrial complex, planning foreign trade operations, and formulating state agricultural policy.
This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the global wheat market as a key segment of the global agricultural and food market. It examines current trends in wheat production, changes in crop acreage, and the factors determining yield growth in various regions of the world. Particular attention is paid to the structure of global production and the distribution of leading positions among the largest grain-producing countries. The dynamics of global wheat exports are analyzed, identifying the main exporting countries and their role in shaping global supply. A significant portion of the study is devoted to analyzing the Russian Federation's export activity under sanctions restrictions, changes in logistics routes, transformation of financial payment mechanisms, and the reorientation of export flows to alternative markets. The article examines the challenges arising in foreign economic activity in the grain sector, as well as ways to address them using government support measures. The paper presents forecast estimates for wheat production and exports in Russia through 2030, taking into account climatic, economic, and institutional factors. The results can be used in developing strategies for the development of the agro-industrial complex, planning foreign trade operations, and formulating state agricultural policy.
Keywords:
global wheat market, grain production, wheat exports, foreign economic activity, agro-industrial complex, sanctions restrictions, logistics, government support, food security
global wheat market, grain production, wheat exports, foreign economic activity, agro-industrial complex, sanctions restrictions, logistics, government support, food security
