TY JOUR TI STRATEGIC FORECASTING OF THE HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION BASED ON DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS KW human Development Index; demographic development; demographic forecasting; human capital; demographic policy; scenario forecasting; net migration; demographic dependency ratio; population reproduction; Russian Federation JO MOSCOW ECONOMIC JOURNAL AU Pihtil'kova, O.A. AU Gorshunova, T.A. AU Pronina, E.V. AU Morozova, T.A. PY 2026 IS 11 PB Electronic science